More early results
07.03.2006Technorati tags: Bolivia politics elections
As of 1pm CST (Chicago time), it looks like the departmental seats will be:
Chuquisaca
MAS - 2 (55%)
Podemos - 1 (15%)
MBL - 1 (8%)
CN - 1 (6%)
La Paz
MAS - 2 (55%)
UN -1 (19%)
Podemos -1 (11%)
ASP -1 (8%)
Cochabamba
MAS - 2 (40%)
Podemos - 1 (28%)
UN - 1 (16%)
Tradepa - 1 (7%)
Oruro
MAS - 2+1 (55%)
Podemos - 1 (11%)
CN - 1 (10%)
No other llist beat the threshold 5% minimum threshold.
Potosi
MAS - 2 (44%)
AS - 1 (27%)
Podemos - 1 (14%)
UN - 1 (5%)
Tarija
MNR - 2 (36%)
MAS - 1 (33%)
Podemos - 1 (17%)
MIR - 1 (8%)
Santa Cruz
Podemos -2 (26%)
MAS -1 (24%)
MNR -1 (18%)
ASI - 1 (11%)
Beni
Podemos - 2 (44%)
MNR - 1 (23%)
MAS - 1 (21%)
MIR - 1 (6%)
Pando
Podemos - 2 (44%)
MAS - 1 (39%)
UN - 1 (7%)
MNR - 1 (6%)
Of course, this could all change as new count totals are tabulated. If these results hold, the totals would be:
MAS - 15
Podemos - 12
MNR - 5
UN - 4
MIR - 2
CN - 2
Tradepa - 1
MBL - 1
ASP - 1
ASI - 1
AS - 1
Of course, that's only for the portion of the assembly made up of departmental delegates (five per department). To these are added the three delegates were 70 parliamentary distrcits (210 total). The assembly, however, will be a unicameral assembly.
Referendum vote
So far, it also looks as if the autonomy referendum has failed to pass. But by a slim margin. Though it seems like it passed by 70-75% margins in Tarija, Santa Cruz, and Beni. We'll have to see what this means for domestic politics — particularly how patient/compromising those from Tarija, Santa Cruz, and Beni (who have most actively pushed for regional political autonomy) are willing to be.
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UPDATE: Evo has actually stated that he will respect the pro-autonomy electoral victories in the four departments where "Sí" won (that includes Pando). If this holds, then those four departments have essentially "won" their political autonomy. But what that means in a constitutional framework, of course, will be decided by the constituent assembly.
Posted by Miguel at 02:10 PM
Comments
Miguel, If you find the time, maybe you could dissagregate the data to account for the circunscripciones were MAS used "borrowed" acronyms and pre-election alliances to bypass electoral regulations, and how this affects the final results.
Posted by: Jonathan at July 3, 2006 11:16 PM
Whar kind of parties are these Concertación Nacional (CN),
Camino al Cambio (CC,
Alianza Social Patriótica (ASP),
What does MBL stand for these day (earlier allied with MNR)?
Posted by: Fredrik Lindqvist at July 4, 2006 04:43 AM
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