Sunday, January 30, 2005

Section 1.1.1.

Rather than edit the previous post (which was an incomplete draft of the following subsection of Chapter 1) — either for minor editing changes to specific paragraphs or to add the new paragraphs (6, 21, 22, 15, 23, 25, 26) — I decided to just post the current version of the entire subsection (I'm now "finished" w/ it) up here.

-----

1.1. Democracy, Democratization, and Democratic Consolidation

[6] In its simplest form, democracy can be understood as a system of popular government. But the precise meaning and characteristics of democracy have been long debated. The following does not pretend to be a definitive work on the subject, but rather an explanation of the way the term is operationalized in the context of this study. The type of liberal, representative democracy this study adopts has implications and consequences that must be acknowledged and addressed. For a variety of practical considerations, this study focuses on the contemporary, rather than the classical, debate on democracy, democratization, and (the most recent debate) democratic consolidation.

1.1.1. Issues of Democratic Theory

[7] Early 20th century social science was marked by pessimism about the future of liberal democracy. Max Weber was concerned over the growing power of bureaucracy in daily life and the pressure of politicized class struggle in capitalist societies. Roberto Michels (1915) and Gaetano Mosca (1939) argued that liberal democracy was little more than competition between alternating elites. While some, like Michels, eventually turned away from liberalism in despair, Weber and others attempted to reconcile liberal democracy with modern social forces by advancing an empirical model of democracy that focused on inter-party competition as a means to check bureaucratic excess and a forum for alleviating social demands. What made all these theories different from previous theories of democracy (liberal or otherwise) was a belief that direct, participatory democracy was impossible in the modern world, combined with a limited faith in the general citizenry.

[8] The most influential proponent of this new empirical theory of democracy was Joseph Schumpeter’s Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. Writing at the height of the Second World War, he defined democracy as “that institutional arrangement for arriving at political decisions by means of competitive struggle for the people’s vote” (1976, p. 269). Schumpeter offered a forceful critique against what he called the “classical” theory of democracy, arguing that democracy should be understood as a method for arriving at political decisions, not as an expression of a “common good” or “popular will”, which he argued did not objectively exist. Instead, this much less lofty definition of democracy nevertheless protected against tyranny through the mechanism of inter-elite competition. Thus, Schumpeter was engaged in two activities: One, a defense of modern liberal democracy using minimalist criteria. Two, development of a descriptive or empirical theory of democracy meant to serve as criteria for distinguishing democracies from non-democracies.

[9] Characteristic of later works that adopted a Schumpeterian framework was an emphasis on political stability. David Easton’s (1953) development of systems analysis assumed stability as a desired norm in political systems. Using structural-functional analysis, Gabriel Almond and G. Bigham Powell (1966) treated political instability in the developing world as problematic. Early studies of political parties, such as Maurice Duverger’s (1962) groundbreaking work, assumed stable competition as a desirable norm. Despite substantial later modifications, the basic proponents of elitist theories of democracy are still adopted by mainstream comparative political studies: adoption of a minimal standard of democracy useful to distinguish democracies from non-democracies, a focus on elite-level competition, and on the desirability of some level of political stability.

[10a] Beginning in the 1950s, a group of empirical theorists known as “pluralists” reformulated the Schumpeterian thesis, arguing that democracy was marked by a greater degree of political competition than Schumpeter himself recognized. David Truman (1951) saw in democratic politics an interaction of organized interests, reinforced by cross-membership in numerous social organizations. In a similar vein, Robert Dahl (1956) argued that democratic societies were marked by a plurality of groups that gathered together in frequently changing coalitions of minorities. Such pluralist studies were marked by belief that political power was widely dispersed in liberal democratic societies, eliminating the danger that any group of elites could become permanently entrenched in power.

[10b] An important characteristic shared by pluralist and elitist democratic theorists was a rejection of formulations of “ideal-type” democracy in favor of “best-possible” approximations. That is, pluralist theorists were willing to accept that their model of democracy would not satisfy many of expectations a perfect, ideal democracy. But because they shared the elitist assumption that modern society made such ideal visions of democracy impossible, they were more concerned with exploring whether and how civil society exerted some degree of control over governing elites. The pluralists also shared a normative dimension, arguing that this minimal view of democracy was worth defending.

[16] Early critics of the pluralist position argued that, while the pluralist theory was more liberal than the original Schumpeterian formulation, it was still essentially an elitist theory of democracy. Scholars such as C. Wright Mills (1956) pointed out that power was not as widely dispersed as the pluralists believed, and that a “power elite” controlled political life. Others, such as Peter Bachrach (1967), pointed out that the pluralists did not pay enough attention to the effects social and economic inequalities had on political life in liberal democracies. If social and (especially) economic inequalities were reflected in political inequalities, then citizens exerted very little (if any) control over elites.

[11] Many of these early criticisms were incorporated into the pluralist model advanced by Robert Dahl’s seminal Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition (1971). The most influential of the pluralists, Robert Dahl’s complex descriptive theory of liberal democracy (or “polyarchy”) still dominates the subfield of comparative politics. In Polyarchy, Dahl attempted to explain how the mechanisms of competitive politics made government responsive to the demands of citizens. For government to be responsive to citizens, liberal democracy requires mechanisms that ensure citizens have opportunities to formulate and express their preferences, while ensuring that all citizens’ preferences would be weighed equally. Essentially, Dahl’s formulation was a defense of representative democracy. But for representative politics to be both meaningful and legitimate, polyarchy requires eight “institutional guarantees” (Dahl 1971, p. 3) broken down into three broad dimensions: competition, participation, and civil liberties (see Sørensen 1998, p. 12-13).

[12] Competition. A central characteristic of polyarchy is free and open competition between plural political groups. Principally, this means frequent and meaningful elections between competing elite factions that represent clearly differentiated programs for government. Meaningful electoral competition also requires that individuals are free to form and join organizations (e.g. political parties), that these organizations are free to compete for popular support, and that individual citizens are eligible for public office. Public competition helps ensure public control over government by limiting the ability of any specific group of elites to consolidate power, since their control of public offices requires continued electoral support by citizens. And because pluralist society makes a permanent majority impossible, constant realignment of society’s many minorities encourages elites to continue appealing to diverse sectors of the electorate for support.

[13] Participation. Free and open political competition also demands a certain degree of active citizen participation, primarily through voting. For Dahl, this starts with universal (or at least near-universal) adult suffrage. But for participation to be meaningful, all citizens’ preferences must be equally considered; in the realm of competitive electoral politics this means the principle of one-man-one-vote. The right to “participate” also spills over into the dimension of competition, since it implies the right of individuals to run for political office and form or join political organizations. More importantly, participation is only meaningful if it is competitive. Otherwise, mere voting in one-party regimes would qualify as “democratic” participation.

[14] Civil liberties. Neither free and open competition nor meaningful citizen participation is possible without at least some minimal set of civil liberties. These include many of the obvious rights necessary for competition and participation outlined above. They also include some basic liberal rights, such as freedom of expression. Without institutionally secured freedom of expression, for example, individuals lack the practical ability to form and join political organizations, appeal to the public for electoral support, or even find alternate sources of information necessary for making educated voting choices. Civil liberties also ensure the ability for public political opposition, an essential element of democratic competition. Essentially, polyarchy is often understood two-dimensionally – focusing on competition and participation – with civil liberties as the set of conditions necessary to make the other two dimensions possible.

[17-18] Critics of this pluralist model argued that pluralists had too quickly dismissed popular participation. The first significant of these later critics was Carole Pateman, who argued that direct citizen participation was too essential an element of democracy. Following early political theorists such as Rousseau and J. S. Mill, Pateman (1970) claimed that participation was crucial for individual human development, as well as for fostering concern for community political life. Similarly, Benjamin Barber (1984) criticized pluralism’s “thin democracy” and argued that citizen participation in the local arena was not only desirable, but that mechanisms for direct popular control were entirely possible for political issues at this level. While conceding that national politics would likely continue to revolve around electoral politics, both Pateman and Barber believed participation could be extended to local arenas, which would transform the context of the national arena by giving individuals a stronger personal attachment to the larger polity.

[19] Others challenged the model’s liberal foundations. Such as C. B. Macpherson (1962, 1977), who criticized pluralism’s reliance on “possessive individualism”. Arguing that liberalism’s assumption of egalitarian individuals did not hold in the real world, Macpherson viewed participation as a means to decrease inequality. Further, he called for a more radical transformation of liberal democracy by combining the system of political parties with a constellation of independent, participatory civic organizations. A different critique came from Jane Mansbridge (1983), who attacked liberal democracy’s focus on “adversarial” politics. In addition to the other benefits of popular participation, Mansbridge outlined a way in which participation could be used to reduce political conflict. Similarly, Carol Gould (1988) called for extending political participation into the social and economic realms as a means to foster democratic agency and encourage a disposition to reciprocity.

[21] By the 1970s, most pluralists, including Dahl, had accepted such criticisms and began moving towards a “neo-pluralist” position that expanded the pluralist model of “procedural democracy” to increase participation and reduce the effects of socioeconomic inequalities. Nevertheless, the neo-pluralist position continued to concentrate on the question of how to balance populist demands for greater participation with the Madisonian principle of representative government as a safeguard against minority tyranny. Some, like Giovanni Sartori (1987) even warned against too much idealism, arguing that while representative and participatory democracy could be reconciled, each had its limitations and proper arenas. Meanwhile, Dahl (1982) outlined the problem of balancing the autonomy of pluralist society’s many groups with the need to retain some basic sense of state authority (meant, primarily, to prevent individual groups from “doing harm” to the body politic). None, moreover, abandoned the principle core of the pluralist project, which was to develop an empirical or descriptive theory of democracy.

[22] Although the neopluralist model did, like preceding elitist theories, emphasize stability, it was much more liberal and comprehensive than many critics recognized. Dahl’s model of polyarchy was especially concerned early on with the notion of “democratic deepening”, the continued liberalization and reduction of inequalities in already established procedural democracies. Further, Dahl’s polyarchy theory was not only a descriptive theory useful for identifying existing democracies, it also offered descriptive analysis of how democracies came into existence. That is, unlike previous static pluralist or elitist theories, polyarchy theory was dynamic, even while retaining its empirical and descriptive orientation in the face of more idealist challengers.

[15] Polyarchy has since become the foundation for the dominant mainstream view of democracy in behavioralist-oriented comparative political science. First, because it offered both the minimal categorical definition of what democracy was, rather than what it should be. Second, because it combined within the empirical, descriptive model of democracy an analytic and dynamic theory of democratization. An overview of significant works in this subfield makes clear that by “democracy” most authors mean “polyarchy”. Consistent with the literature into which this study fits, I adopt Dahl’s polyarchy theory — with many of its later modifications — as a minimal standard. Thus, I simply write “democracy” (rather than “polyarchy”) throughout the remainder of the study.

[23] One of the greatest advantages of using such a “minimalist” definition of democracy is its operational utility. Minimalist, empirical conceptions of democracy are practical for comparative studies of democracy since “they deliberately focus on the smallest possible number of attributes that are still seen as producing a viable standard for democracy” (Collier and Levitsky 1997, p. 433). Before we can discuss democracy in a comparative framework, of course, we must first agree on basic criteria for determining which cases are democracies, and which are not. The minimalist, pluralist view of democracy’s focus on a set of procedural criteria – namely meaningful, competitive elections – provides just such a basic frame of reference. Critics should note, of course, that no proponents of procedural definitions of democracy argue against the deeper, more participatory democracy envisioned by the pluralists’ critics. The minimal, procedural definition of democracy is most often seen as a basic starting point for democracy, not its finish line.

[25] A minimal, procedural view of democracy fits well with contemporary comparative democracy studies for two reasons. One, Dahl’s dynamic model also includes a strong emphasis on explaining the process of democratization, that is, the transition away from a non- or semi-democratic regime toward a democratic one. This view of democratization as a move along one or both of two dimensions – liberalization (increasing competition) or inclusiveness (increasing participation) – gave a simple but effective framework for analyzing the “third wave” of democracy that swept much of the world in the last two decades of the last century. Two, recent studies focusing on “democratic consolidation” also adopt an expanded view of procedural democracy as a key feature for determining when a democratic transition has ended and the procedural norms of democracy have been institutionalized. While not neglecting the neo-pluralist emphasis on “continued democratization” within existing democracies, using a descriptive model of democracy helps scholars determine when a case fits securely within the category box for “democracy”.

[26] Finally, a pluralist model of democracy is also useful for explaining democratic crisis. This study of Bolivia’s democratic crisis adopts the pluralist explanatory framework identified by David Held (1996, p. 242-244), which considers that a combination of increasingly higher expectations generated by liberal democracy and early neoliberal economic successes make effective state management increasingly difficult in the long run. While this study pursues an institutional explanation for the recent Bolivian political crisis, the institutional explanation fits within the broader context of liberal pluralist democracy embedded within neoliberal capitalism.

Saturday, January 29, 2005

Issues of Democratic Theory

The following is the first two parts of section 1.1.1. (which deals w/ democratic theory proper). By tomorrow evening, I hope to finish this section (which will be the longest single section of Chapter 1), along w/ sections 1.1.2. (Theories of Democratization) and 1.1.3 (Democratic Consolidation). The numbers ([#]) are mainly for me, and correspond to paragraph numbers from the outline (discrepancies are due to re-organization).

1.1.1. Issues of Democratic Theory

[7] Early 20th century social science was marked by pessimism about the future of liberal democracy. Max Weber was concerned over the growing power of bureaucracy in daily life and the pressure of politicized class struggle in capitalist societies. Roberto Michels (1915) and Vilfredo Pareto (1897) argued that liberal democracy was little more than competition between alternating elites. While some, like Michels, eventually turned away from liberalism in despair, Weber and others attempted to reconcile liberal democracy with modern social forces by advancing an empirical model of democracy that focused on inter-party competition as a means to check bureaucratic excess and a forum for alleviating social demands. What made all these theories different from previous theories of democracy (liberal or otherwise) was a belief that direct, participatory democracy was impossible in the modern world and limited faith in the general citizenry.

[8] The most influential proponent of this new empirical theory of democracy was Joseph Schumpeter’s Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. Writing at the height of the Second World War, he defined democracy as “that institutional arrangement for arriving at political decisions by means of competitive struggle for the people’s vote” (1976, p. 269). Schumpeter offered a forceful critique against what he called the “classical” theory of democracy, arguing that democracy should be understood as a method for arriving at political decisions, not as an expression of a “common good” or “popular will”, which he argued did not objectively exist. Instead, this much less lofty definition of democracy nevertheless protected against tyranny through the mechanism of inter-elite competition. Thus, Schumpeter was engaged in two activities: One, a defense of modern liberal democracy using minimalist criteria. Two, development of a descriptive or empirical theory of democracy meant to serve as criteria for distinguishing democracies from non-democracies.

[9] Characteristic of later works that adopted a Schumpeterian framework was an emphasis on political stability. David Easton’s (1953) development of systems analysis assumed stability as a desired norm in political systems. Using structural-functional analysis, Gabriel Almond and G. Bigham Powell (1966) treated political instability in the developing world as problematic. Early studies of political parties, such as Maurice Duverger’s (1962) groundbreaking work, assumed stable competition as a desirable norm. Despite substantial later modifications, the basic proponents of elitist theories of democracy are still adopted by mainstream comparative political studies: adopting of a minimal standard of democracy useful to distinguish democracies from non-democracies, a focus on elite-level competition, and on the desirability of some level of political stability.

[10a] Beginning in the 1950s, a group of empirical theorists known as “pluralists” reformulated the Schumpeterian thesis, arguing that democracy was marked by a greater degree of political competition than Schumpeter himself recognized. David Truman (1951) saw in democratic politics an interaction of organized interests, reinforced by cross-membership in numerous social organizations. In a similar vein, Robert Dahl (1956) argued that democratic societies were marked by a plurality of groups that gathered together in frequently changing coalitions of minorities. Such pluralist studies were marked by belief that political power was widely dispersed in liberal democratic societies, eliminating the danger that any group of elites could become permanently entrenched in power.

[10b] An important characteristic shared by pluralist and elitist democratic theorists was a rejection of formulations of “ideal-type” democracy in favor of “best-possible” approximations. That is, pluralist theorists were willing to accept that their model of democracy would not satisfy many of expectations a perfect, ideal democracy. But because they shared the elitist assumption that modern society made such ideal visions of democracy impossible, they were more concerned with exploring whether and how civil society exerted some degree of control over governing elites. The pluralists also shared a normative dimension, arguing that this minimal view of democracy was worth defending.

[16] Early critics of the pluralist position argued that, while the pluralist theory was more liberal than the original Schumpeterian formulation, it was still essentially an elitist theory of democracy. Scholars such as C. Wright Mills (1956) pointed out that power was not as widely dispersed as the pluralists believed, and that a “power elite” controlled political life. Others, such as Peter Bachrach (1967), pointed out that the pluralists did not pay enough attention to the effects social and economic inequalities had on political life in liberal democracies. If social and (especially) economic inequalities were reflected in political inequalities, then citizens exerted very little (if any) control over elites.

[11] Many of these early criticisms were incorporated into the pluralist model advanced by Robert Dahl’s seminal Polyarchy: Participation and Opposition (1971). The most influential of the pluralists, Robert Dahl’s complex descriptive theory of liberal democracy (or “polyarchy”) still dominates the subfield of comparative politics. In Polyarchy, Dahl attempted to explain how the mechanisms of competitive politics made government responsive to the demands of citizens. For government to be responsive to citizens, liberal democracy requires mechanisms that ensure citizens have opportunities to formulate and express their preferences, while ensuring that all citizens’ preferences would be weighed equally. Essentially, Dahl’s formulation was a defense of representative democracy. But for representative politics to be both meaningful and legitimate, polyarchy requires eight “institutional guarantees” (Dahl 1971, p. 3) broken down into three broad dimensions: competition, participation, and civil liberties (see Sørensen 1998, p. 12-13).

[12] Competition. A central characteristic of polyarchy is free and open competition between plural political groups. Principally, this means frequent and meaningful elections between competing elite factions that represent clearly differentiated programs for government. Meaningful electoral competition also requires that individuals are free to form and join organizations (e.g. political parties), that these organizations are free to compete for popular support, and that individual citizens are eligible for public office. Public competition helps ensure public control over government by limiting the ability of any specific group of elites to consolidate power, since their control of public offices requires continued electoral support by citizens. And because pluralist society makes a permanent majority impossible, constant realignment of society’s many minorities encourages elites to continue appealing to diverse sectors of the electorate for support.

[13] Participation. Free and open political competition also demands a certain degree of active citizen participation, primarily through voting. For Dahl, this starts with universal (or at least near-universal) adult suffrage. But for participation to be meaningful, all citizens’ preferences must be equally considered; in the realm of competitive electoral politics this means the principle of one-man-one-vote. The right to “participate” also spills over into the dimension of competition, since it implies the right of individuals to run for political office and form or join political organizations. More importantly, participation is only meaningful if it is competitive. Otherwise, mere voting in one-party regimes would qualify as “democratic” participation.

[14] Civil liberties. Neither free and open competition nor meaningful citizen participation is possible without at least some minimal set of civil liberties. These include many of the obvious rights necessary for competition and participation outlined above. They also include some basic liberal rights, such as freedom of expression. Without institutionally secured freedom of expression, for example, individuals lack the practical ability to form and join political organizations, appeal to the public for electoral support, or even find alternate sources of information necessary for making educated voting choices. Civil liberties also ensure the ability for public political opposition, an essential element of democratic competition. Essentially, polyarchy is often understood two-dimensionally – focusing on competition and participation – with civil liberties as the set of conditions necessary to make the other two dimensions possible.

[17-18] Critics of this pluralist model argued that pluralists had too quickly dismissed popular participation. The first significant of these later critics was Carole Pateman, who argued that direct citizen participation was too essential an element of democracy. Following early political theorists such as Jean-Jacques Rousseau and J. S. Mill, Pateman (1970) claimed that participation was crucial for individual human development, as well as for fostering concern for community political life. Similarly, Benjamin Barber (1984) criticized pluralism’s “thin democracy” and argued that citizen participation in the local arena was not only desirable, but that mechanisms for direct popular control were entirely possible for political issues at this level. While conceding that national politics would likely continue to revolve around electoral politics, both Pateman and Barber believed participation could be extended to local arenas, which would transform the context of the national arena by giving individuals a stronger personal attachment to the larger polity.

[19] The pluralist model was also challenged by C. B. Macpherson (1962, 1977), who criticized pluralism’s reliance on “possessive individualism”. Arguing that liberalism’s assumption of egalitarian individuals did not hold in the real world, Macpherson viewed participation as a means to decrease inequality. Further, he called for a more radical transformation of liberal democracy by combining the system of political parties with a constellation of independent, participatory civic organizations. A different critique came from Jane Mansbridge (1983), who attacked liberal democracy’s focus on “adversarial” politics. In addition to the other benefits of popular participation, Mansbridge outlined a way in which participation could be used to reduce political conflict. Similarly, Carol Gould (1988) called for extending political participation into the social and economic realms as a means to foster democratic agency and encourage a disposition to reciprocity.

Friday, January 28, 2005

Intro to Chapter 1

The following are (so far) the first five paragraphs of the first chapter of my dissertation (minus the footnotes).

1. Theoretical Framework

My study of Bolivia’s recent experience with democracy fits into the growing democratic transition and consolidation literature by scholars such as Juan J. Linz, Larry Diamond, Guillermo O’Donnell, Alfred Stepan, Jonathan Hartlyn, and numerous others. Such studies are marked by the use of procedural definitions of democracy, an interest in the broader historical context of specific cases, emphasis on factors of institutional design such as electoral systems and party systems, a focus on elite actors and their decisions, and a deep concern for determining when democratic transformations are secure and immune to reversal. Like most of them, I adopt a “new historical institutionalist” framework that defines institutions as “the formal or informal procedures, routines, norms, and conventions embedded in the organizational structure of the polity” (Hall and Taylor 1996, 938). This new historical institutional approach considers both formal and informal institutions (the “procedural framework” within which political actors interact), and readily admits that political outcomes are also influenced and bounded by historical and cultural factors. While politics is in large measure a product of choices, earlier decisions have consequences, both expected and unexpected, on future strategies and choices.

New historical institutionalists accept rational choice’s assumption that actors behave strategically, but argue that individual interests, choices, and strategies are deeply affected by historical context (March and Olsen 1989). The new historical institutionalism also differs from a sociological institution that more broadly analyzes social conventions and customs (Powell and DiMaggio 1991). A disadvantage of sociological institutionalism is its inherent conservatism; while it is excellent at providing a rich description of a societies broader institutional context, it is much less cable of explaining social change. A new historical institutionalist perspective allows for studies of continuity, as well as studies of change, avoiding the extreme of a determinism that dismisses the important role of actors’ choices, or the opposite extreme.

Bolivian political actors did not design their institutions; democracy was inaugurated under a 1967 Constitution crafted during the military dictatorship of René Barrientos. Thus, during the early democratic period Bolivian political elites were by an institutional framework they did not construct. Though never implemented during Barrientos’ regime (1964-69), the constitution outlined the basic procedural rules of the post-transition democratic game. A new constitution was not adopted until 1994, though it did make significant changes to the country’s institutional framework. Nevertheless, Bolivia’s democratization was a dramatic break from previous historical experience and, since 1982, Bolivians created a unique institutional framework of “parliamentarized presidentialism” by accommodating themselves to formal, procedural norms outlined in the constitution.

Bolivian democracy was also constrained by its socio-historical parameters. The 1952 Revolution provides an important set of historical legacies still felt in Bolivian politics, not least of which was a political party system dominated (until recently) by parties with close ties to the national project pursued after 9 April 1952. Another set of constraints on Bolivia’s political elites included a set of consensus (seemingly also shared by the population) born from the difficult democratic transition process, as well as experience of the 1982-1985 Hernán Siles Zuazo government, including common acceptance of neoliberal economic policies. The combination of these various sources of political consensus, which reinforced Bolivia’s formal democratic institutions, has since broken down.

Adopting a new historical institutionalist perspective allows this study to analyze the interaction between formal institutional factors and historical contextual legacies. Bolivian political elites interacted not only within a context of specific institutional constraints and incentives, but also within the changing socio-historical constraints imposed by their broader social context. Although my goal was to study the effects of Bolivia’s unique institutional design, no study of Bolivian democracy can ignore important historical legacies such as the 1952 Revolution. Changes in both formal institutions structures (specifically, the electoral system) and the broader sociopolitical consensus had important consequences for Bolivia leading up to the recent political crisis. It was, after all, in that context that Bolivian political actors played out the democratic game.

Sunday, January 16, 2005

Chapter I, Part 1 (preliminary outline)

Chapter I: Theoretical and Methodological Considerations
[1] Intro to the introduction … wrap up this entire chapter briefly (perhaps 3 paragraphs max)
1. Literature Review
[2] Introduce historical institutionalism
[3] Historical institutionalism most useful for studying Bolivian politics … because actors used pre-existing constitutional structure
[4] Historical institutionalism useful for Bolivian politics because of 1952 Revolution (historical legacies)
[5] Institutionalist perspective allows us to see how institutions interact w/ historical legacies … bring up that I’ll use concept of ‘imagined communities’
1.1. Democracy, Democratization, and Democratic Consolidation
[6] Introduction (maybe strike?)
1.1.1. Issues of Democratic Theory
[7] Introduction … emergence of empirical theories of democracy
[8] Joseph Schumpeter and elitist theory of democracy
[9] Stability-oriented theorists (David Easton, Maurice Duverger)
[10] Robert Dahl and pluralists
[11] Begin outline of polyarchy and its dimensions as balancing populism and representative democracy (esp. Dahl 1956)
[12] Competition
[13] Participation
[14] Civil and political liberties
[15] Wrap up pluralist model
[16] Intro to criticisms of elitist and pluralist models
[17] Carol Pateman and emphasis on participation
[18] Benjamin Barber and vision of ‘strong’ democracy
[19] McPherson and critique of liberal individualism and conflict politics
[20] Dryzek and critique of capitalism and democracy
[21] Pluralist model was oriented towards stability, but also liberal w/ emphasis on limited government and political participation (esp. later ‘neo-pluralist’ position)
[22] Emphasis on stability not necessarily conservative, since polyarchy also looks at ‘democratic deepening’ as important element, also democracy not as either/or, but a continuum
[23] Defense of polyarchy as operational utility (e.g. minimal standard)
[24] Brief defense of liberal democracy as universal value
[25] Pluralist model also tied closely to theories of democratization and transition models (e.g. Rustow)
[26] Pluralist models can also help explain democratic crisis (see Held p. 243)
1.1.2. Democratization and Transition Theories
[27] Introduction, brief definition of democracy as transition towards democracy (polyarchy) from non-democracy
[28] Basic model from Dahl and Rustow (see Sørensen)
[29] Structural preconditions arguments from Barrington Moore and S. M. Lipset
[30] Cultural preconditions arguments from Almond and Verba, and Wiarda
[31] Static view from Huntington (1968)
[32] Critiques of structuralist argument (O’Donnell)
[33] Critiques of political culture thesis from Terry L. Karl and Huntington
[34] Other critiques of previous scholarship (??)
[35] The ‘third wave’ of democracy (esp. Huntington)
[36] Concept of ‘democratic opening’ and different transition paths
[37] Pacted transitions (Di Palma) (and relationship to elitist democracy?)
1.1.3. Democratic Consolidation
[38] Introduce concept of democratic consolidation and its current usage and emphasis in literature
[39] Operational definition of ‘consolidation’ from Linz and Stepan
[40] Overview of use of ‘consolidation’ in Latin American literature
[41] Introduce idea of ‘consolidation’ as expansion of Dahl’s concept of democratic ‘deepening’ and use by others (e.g. Peeler)
[42] Difficulties w/ concept of democratic consolidation and its usage
[43] Simple endurance (Schedler) cannot guarantee democracy won’t later break down (consolidated regimes can/do break down)
[44] Whitehead’s use of concept of ‘viable’ democracy
[45] Emphasize that long term survivability of democracy is important
[46] Point out that I use ‘stability’ rather than ‘consolidation’ to describe Bolivia (and define, explicitly, what I mean by ‘stable’ democracy)
[47] Defend advantage of using stability rather than consolidated or viable or other alternatives
1.2. Democracy and Political Institutions
[48] Introduction … how institutions (formal/informal) relate to elite role in democracy (and relationship to citizens) … relate to the ‘kratos’ side of democratic equation … Linz & Stepan’s “no state, no democracy” (state as an arrangement of institutions)
[49] Institutionalist perspective consistent w/ procedural definitions of democracy … but also address issues of participation/legitimacy
[50] I will consider four different political institutions … electoral system … party system … executive legislative relations … informal coalition-building rules
[51] A description of the Bolivian model will be covered in Chapter 2 (below will follow only most basic theoretical considerations)
1.2.1. Electoral Systems
[52] Introduction … why focus on electoral systems and role in democracy
[53] Theories of representative democracy (perhaps Manin?)
[54] Why different kinds of electoral systems matter
[55] How electoral systems reflect different theories of democracy (majority, etc)
[56] How electoral systems interact w/ other institutions (esp. party systems)
1.2.2. Party Systems
[57] Introduction … why modern democracy is impossible w/o political parties
[58] Democracy needs stable, legitimate, competitive party systems
[59] Role of parties in training leadership
[60] Role of parties in channeling demands
[61] How parties and party systems evolve (esp. as reflection of pre-existing social cleavages)
1.2.3. Executive-Legislative Relations
[62] Introduction … why modern democracies distinguish between executives and legislative powers
[63] Brief outline of presidential democracy
[64] Brief outline of parliamentary democracy
[65] Fuller discussion carried out in Chapter 2
1.2.4. Coalition-Building Norms
[66] Introduction … coalition-building rules are (largely) informal processes
[67] Relationship between coalition-building probability to electoral and party systems
[68] Consociational, more ‘static’ coalitions
[69] Less ‘static’ coalition-building
[70] Importance of ‘types’ of coalitions (pragmatic, clientelistic, ideological, etc)
1.3. Democracy and Imagined Communities
[71] Introduction to ‘imagined communities’ (Benedict Anderson) and relationship w/ democratic theory (the ‘demos’ part of the equation)
[72] Use Dahl’s ‘demos question’ to add a corollary to Linz/Stepan: ‘no nation, no democracy’ … the first agreement for democracy to exist is that citizens agree they are a community (one ‘demos’)
[73] Relate to historical institutionalism and Bolivia’s historical legacies … briefly mention the 1952 Revolution (legacies affect institutions)
[74] But changes in institutional framework can also affect historical legacies, or the communal bonds (re-imagining the ‘demos’)
[75] A brief historical outline of Bolivia’s evolving nationalism over time follows in Chapter 3 … but hint that 1952 was a pivotal point in Bolivian history, and that many of the agreements from that generation seem to be breaking down into particularisms

Tuesday, January 11, 2005

Notes from the trains

The following were notes taken into my notebook on trains through Italy during my holiday break. These were things beyond the margin notes that peppered the draft I took w/ me. Apologies if they make little sense, each is tied to a specific, marked passage from that draft.

-----

Note 1A:
Use data on elite political consensus as indicator of underlying social consensus. Perhaps parties had economic & national consensus, which facilitated party agreements, because of social acceptance (i.e. a smaller ideological space). Perhaps a combination of new realities plus institutional changes (post '94) opened up the ideological space between parties, making elite bargaining more difficult. Traditional parties could still form alliances because they still shared common agreements, but found working w/ new, more radical parties more and more difficult.

Note 2A:
Cabinet data should look at both in individual personnel and distribution among parties. But I'm giving more weight to party composition changes. Free to change if I find sudden/increasing changes in cabinet personnel.

Note 3A:
Make sure to point out that democratization can be understood in two ways: 1) change to democratic government and 2) continued expansion of democracy. but should properly be understood as second, as always closer to approaching the democratic "ideal". This can help bridge literature on democratization and critiques of Latin American democracy.

Note 4A:
February 2003 (the police mutiny) and October 2003 ("guerra del gas") where both clear violations of democratic stability. I'll define both as "golpes" w/ only difference that October was successful, and February wasn't. Also, October seemed to have broader social support. Actors were:

  1. Feb '03: Vargas & police (who behind? NFR?)
  2. Oct '03: some opportunistic alliances of groups, esp. COB (Solares), Quispe, COR( de la Cruz), and MAS (Evo).

Note 5A:
Make organizational change to paper, separating formal (constitutional) rules and informal (non-constitutional) institutions. E.g. electoral rules are stipulated (formal), through the electoral system. But party system isn't "stipulated" in same way. Also need to diagram relationships.

Note 6A:
Make clear distinction between "true coalition" government and others. I mean a coalition where the member parties share joint administrative responsibilities (in executive) and share posts in some agreed-upon arrangement. As opposed to just infrequent or transitory support for individual/specific policy programs, etc.

Note 1B:
Political institutions as responsible for perhaps even postponing later conflict by "keeping a lid on" potential problems.

Note 2B:
Revolution ('52) need not be consolidated. At least post-52 elites shared a common "national project" or idea of "who" the Bolivian demos is/was supposed to be.

Note 3B:
Rewrite historical legacies section to deal also w/ idea of a national project. One of '52 Revolution's aims was to create a single "Bolivian" national identity across ethnic/class lines. Indians became "campesinos". This element of '52 seems to've been consolidated or generally accepted by elites until mid-90s. Most literature on '52 looks at political process. But I need to focus on the Revolution as a nation-building process. Elites tried, as in most major revolutions, to build a new "nation".

Note 4B:
Perhaps a diagram on post-MNR politics? By 1980s, Bolivia inherited a party system dominated by parties w/ historical ties (as successors) to MNR and '52 regime.

Tuesday, January 04, 2005

Draft outline (Revision 2)

Chapter I Theoretical and Methodological Considerations

  1. Introduction
  2. Literature Review
    1. Democracy, Democratization, and Democratic Consolidation
    2. Democracy and Political Institutions
      1. The Presidential-Parliamentary Debate Revisited
        1. Presidentialism
        2. Parliamentarism
        3. Mixed Systems
      2. Bolivia’s Institutional Design
        1. Joint-List Party Ballot
        2. Legislative Election of the Executive
      3. The Change from List-PR to MMP
    3. Democracy and Imagined Communities
      1. Nationess, Stateness, and Imagined Communities
        1. Nation, State, and Democracy
        2. Democracy in Pluralist Times
        3. The Role of Elites
      2. The Bolivian National Question
        1. Bolivian Nation-Building Before 1952
        2. The 1952 National Revolution
        3. (Re)emerging Regional Identities
  3. Research Question, Hypotheses, Data and Method
    1. What Explains Bolivia’s Democratic Stability Until 2003 and Its Subsequent Breakdown?
    2. Hypotheses
    3. Data and Method
    4. Limitations on the Dataset
  4. The Structure of the Study

Chapter II Transition to Democracy
  1. The Difficult Road to Democracy (1978-82)
  2. The Siles Zuazo Government (1982-1985)
  3. The First Democratic Election
    1. The 1985 Campaign
    2. Election Results and MNR-ADN Dominance
    3. Legislative Election of the President
    4. The Unsteady MNR-ADN Partnership
  4. Concluding Remarks

Chapter II Early Parliamentarized Presidentialism
  1. The First Coalition Government
    1. The 1989 Campaign
    2. Election Results and the Three-Way Race
    3. Coalition-Building and Legislative Election of the President
    4. The Start of the Bipolar Multiparty System
  2. The First Multiparty Coalition
    1. The 1993 Campaign
    2. Election Results and the Two-Way Race
    3. Coalition-Building in the Context of New Parties
    4. The Emerging Multiparty System
  3. Concluding Remarks

Chapter IV Later Parliamentarized Presidentialism
  1. The 1994 Reforms to Bolivia’s Political System
    1. The Introduction of Municipal Elections
    2. The Change to Mixed-Member Proportional Electoral System
    3. Implications
  2. The Last Hurrah of the Traditional Parties
    1. The 1997 Campaign
    2. Election Results and the Fragmented Electorate
    3. Coalition-Building with Populist Parties
    4. The New Multiparty System
  3. The Collapse of the Traditional Party System
    1. The 2002 Campaign
    2. Election Results and the Collapse of the Traditional Parties
    3. The Artificial Coalition
    4. The October 2003 “Guerra del Gas”
  4. Concluding Remarks

Chapter V Conclusions and Limitations of the Study
  1. Summary of Findings
  2. Important Considerations for “Constitutional Engineers”
  3. Limitations of the Study

-----
NOTES:
The subsections w/in Chapters II-IV follow a basic pattern. Each election is taken individually and analyzed the same way: a) content analysis of campaign rhetoric, b) electoral data analysis, c) cabinet-level analysis, and d) an overview (or snapshot) of Bolivian politics following the election.